Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State odds, prediction, betting trends for Bedlam

No. 10 Oklahoma meets No. 7 Oklahoma State on Saturday in a top-10 showdown with huge Big 12 championship implications. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Okla. The game will be televised on ABC. 

Oklahoma (10-1) jumped back into the top-10 this week after beating Iowa State, and the Sooners are in the mix for a seventh straight Big 12 championship. If OU wins or if No. 8 Baylor loses to Texas Tech, the Sooners will play in the Big 12 championship game against Oklahoma State Fifth-year coach Lincoln Riley is looking to continue a streak of six straight victories against the rival Cowboys. 

No. 7 Oklahoma State (10-1) clinched its first appearance in the Big 12 championship game. The Cowboys are doing it with the top-ranked defense in the Big 12 under longtime coach Mike Gundy. 

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Bedlam will have an amplified tone with the Sooners’ impending move to the SEC, and the winner still has a shot at the College Football Playoff with a little help. With that in mind, a look at everything you need to be on the matchup between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.  

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State odds

  • Spread: Oklahoma State -3.5
  • Over/under: 50.5
  • Moneyline: Oklahoma State -188, Oklahoma +152 

Three trends to know  

— Oklahoma State has covered in nine straight games since a 28-23 victory against Tulsa in Week 2. The Cowboys are 6-0 S/U at home in 2021. 

— Oklahoma opened as a 1.5-point favorite, and now the Sooners are an underdog for the first time this season. Oklahoma is 2-0 S/U as a road underdog since Riley took over in 2017. 

— The Sooners are 6-0 S/U in one-score games this season. The Cowboys are 4-1 S/U in one-score games, with the lone loss a 24-21 slipup at Iowa State on Oct. 23. 

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Three things to watch  

— Spencer Sanders’ second chance. Sanders struggled in last year’s loss to the Sooners. He finished 10 of 19 passing for 97 yards and an interception and was a nonfactor in the running game. Sanders has thrown just one interception in Oklahoma State’s last five games, and that has been because of a strong running game with Jaylen Warren (1,078 yards, 10 TDs). Oklahoma allows 3.6 yards per rushing attempt and is led by linebacker Nik Bonitto (13.5 TFL) and defensive end Isaiah Thomas (10 TFL). 

— Caleb Williams on the road. Williams, a freshman, has shown flashes of superstardom since taking over for Spencer Rattler as a starter, but there have been growing pains. Williams hasn’t been quite as dynamic on the road with a 65% completion percentage, two TDs and three interceptions. He still offers immense talent, especially in the running game, and Oklahoma State will have to account for that in the deep passing game. 

— The ‘SEC’ factor. Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy said Bedlam could be a thing of the past when Oklahoma leaves for the SEC. That’s going to make Boone PIckens Stadium that much more inhospitable on Saturday. The Sooners have committed just two turnovers in their last three trips to Oklahoma State. 

Stat that matters

Oklahoma State leads the FBS in third-down defense. Opponents are converting just 24.5% of their opportunities. Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles has built a legit defense, and five different players have at least nine tackles for loss. The key for the Cowboys will be forcing the Sooners into third-and-longs, when Williams or backup Rattler could make the costly mistake. 

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State prediction 

Including the Texas game, the Sooners have rushed for 200 yards or more in four of six games with Williams under center for most of the snaps. Kennedy Brooks averages 6.0 yards per carry with 10 TDs, and Oklahoma needs to get him going. Williams makes a few splash plays early, and that energizes the Sooners in a game where they still have the psychological advantage. Oklahoma leads in the fourth quarter and holds off Oklahoma State’s late rally. Don’t worry. They’ll run it back next week. 

Final score: Oklahoma 31, Oklahoma State 27